Intraday Feed
Dylan O'Neill
#intraday
09:14 ET
ES retested the line @ 7474... good spot to gauge strength/weakness as noted... bears main objective is to defend there
✓ confirm
Message reinforces the short plan by identifying 7474 as a key defensive level for bears, consistent with the short bias.
Dylan O'Neill
#intraday
09:15 ET
On the flip side, the bulls ability to recapture the trend line and stay above would be a clear indication of renewed strength^
· noise
General market commentary about bull/bear dynamics and trend line significance, not actionable on the ES short plan.
Carmine Rosato
#intraday
09:30 ET
Today, I first want to observe the price action around yesterday high / supply zone which rejected yesterday 7464. Lets see what price action does IF tested and if it can provide any clues or signs
✓ confirm
Trader is observing price action at the planned supply zone (7464) to confirm rejection signals for the short entry.
Carmine Rosato
#intraday
09:35 ET
For me, i just find it hard If the market rallies, to long this STILL inside/under supply levels from Fridays large drop
On a trending move like Friday, these upside levels of resistance are good areas to gauge the price action around and observe if these original sellers are still willing to sell or not
· noise
General market commentary about resistance levels and price action observation; no actionable change to the ES short plan.
Carmine Rosato
#intraday
09:38 ET
at this rate however, I really 'want" to see ES break ABOVE yesterdays high
But wanting to see something is not a good approach
· noise
Trader expresses a desire to see ES break above yesterday's high but explicitly acknowledges this is not a sound trading approach; no actionable change to the plan.
Dylan O'Neill
#intraday
09:44 ET
"That ES trend line remains key... bears main objective was to defend there and that's exactly what they did... as long as price remains subdued, Friday's lows are at risk of getting revisited as the data point describes above^^^... the trend line now sits @ 7487... On the flip side, the bulls ability to recapture the trend line and stay above would be a clear indication of renewed strength"
ES nearing the trend line retest
· noise
General market commentary on trend line dynamics and price structure; no actionable change to entry/stop/target levels.
Carmine Rosato
#intraday
09:48 ET
to me, I rather be WRONG and NOT take a TRADE rather than being WRONG and forcing a trade because I do not want to miss this rally.
What I mean by that is I am just not buying this rally, I cant get behind doing it AT THIS MOMENT. So i rather be WRONG here on this than sit here and go against everything
✓ confirm
Trader is expressing discipline to wait for better setup rather than force a trade; plan remains SHORT with no changes to levels or direction.
Carmine Rosato
#intraday
09:49 ET
zero prints 7483.75
· noise
Market data observation (zero prints at 7483.75) with no actionable direction or level change to the short plan.
Carmine Rosato
#intraday
09:53 ET
Today, I first want to observe the price action around yesterday high / supply zone which rejected yesterday 7464. Lets see what price action does IF tested and if it can provide any clues or signs
✓ confirm
Trader is observing price action at the planned supply zone (7464) to confirm rejection signals for the short entry.
Carmine Rosato
#intraday
09:54 ET
book turning RED
at my 7490 level
Downside levels of support still untested. My gameplan is SHORTING this rally
✓ confirm
Trader confirms short bias at 7490 resistance level; gameplan aligns with pre-market short plan direction.
Carmine Rosato
#intraday
09:55 ET
Looking for strong downside move into that strong voluem area oaround 7470 and then 7467
✓ confirm
Trader is looking for downside continuation consistent with the short plan, targeting lower levels (7470, 7467) below the entry zone.
Carmine Rosato
#intraday
09:56 ET
I am short 7483. Targeting 7470-7467. My stop is above 7488 Right at my 7490 DBD structure from Friday
⚡ change
Trader entered short at 7483 with target range 7470-7467 and stop above 7488, refining the original plan levels.
{
"entry_ref": 7483.0,
"stop_ref": 7488.0,
"target_zone": [
7467.0,
7470.0
]
}
Carmine Rosato
#intraday
09:56 ET
holding 25% for 7467 and below
✓ confirm
Trader is managing the existing short position by holding partial size with a profit target below entry, consistent with the short plan direction.
Carmine Rosato
#intraday
09:57 ET
Stop adjusted to breakeven on the runners now
✓ confirm
Trader is managing the open short position by moving stop to breakeven, which is a normal trade management action within the existing short plan.
Carmine Rosato
#intraday
09:59 ET
I am short 7483. Targeting 7470-7467. My stop is above 7488 Right at my 7490 DBD structure from Friday
⚡ change
Trader entered short at 7483 with target range 7470-7467 and stop above 7488, refining the original plan levels.
{
"entry_ref": 7483.0,
"stop_ref": 7488.0,
"target_zone": [
7467.0,
7470.0
]
}
Carmine Rosato
#intraday
10:03 ET
This is the MAIN reason why I just could NOT get behind longing this morning rally....
Just SAT patient and waited for a good opportunity
✓ confirm
Trader confirms patience with the short plan, explaining why they rejected taking a long position during the morning rally.
Carmine Rosato
#intraday
10:03 ET
you DO NOT have to catch / trade EVERY SINGLE MOVE !!!!
· noise
General trading psychology reminder, not actionable on the ES short plan.
@Carmine Rosato
#intraday
10:08 ET
you DO NOT have to catch / trade EVERY SINGLE MOVE !!!!
· noise
General trading psychology reminder, not actionable on the ES short plan.
@Carmine Rosato
#intraday
10:11 ET
Thou shall not pass... bears defending right where they need to... remains key
✓ confirm
Market commentary affirming the short bias; bears defending resistance aligns with the plan's short directional intent.
Carmine Rosato
#intraday
10:15 ET
I am short 7483. Targeting 7470-7467. My stop is above 7488 Right at my 7490 DBD structure from Friday
⚡ change
Trader entered short at 7483 with target range 7470-7467 and stop above 7488, refining the original plan levels.
{
"entry_ref": 7483.0,
"stop_ref": 7488.0,
"target_zone": [
7467.0,
7470.0
]
}
Dylan O'Neill
#intraday
10:49 ET
"....when NDX loses -4% or more on a Friday there is a 90% chance that Friday low is breached in the next five trading days, and we don't think this time is different." (BTIG) That ES trend line remains key... bears main objective was to defend there and that's exactly what they did... as long as price remains subdued, Friday's lows are at risk of getting revisited as the data point describes above^^^... the trend line now sits @ 7487
· noise
General market commentary about NDX weakness, trend lines, and Friday lows; no direct actionable change to the ES short plan levels or direction.
Dylan O'Neill
#intraday
11:30 ET
"....when NDX loses -4% or more on a Friday there is a 90% chance that Friday low is breached in the next five trading days, and we don't think this time is different." (BTIG) That ES trend line remains key... bears main objective was to defend there and that's exactly what they did... as long as price remains subdued, Friday's lows are at risk of getting revisited as the data point describes above^^^... the trend line now sits @ 7487
· noise
General market commentary about NDX weakness, trend lines, and Friday lows; no direct actionable change to the ES short plan levels or direction.
Dylan O'Neill
#intraday
12:20 ET
Next level down (on my end) is SPX 50 day MA @ 7192
· noise
General market commentary about SPX moving averages; not directly actionable on the ES short plan or its levels.
Dylan O'Neill
#intraday
12:29 ET
VX 20.20 was the prior support in early to mid May… just retested and rejected (so far)… as a result, ES seeing relief bounce… one of my favorite setups is dual confirmation between the pair (VX resistance and ES support testing same time)… in this case, ES lacks support so it’s not present
· noise
General market commentary on VX behavior and ES dynamics; no actionable change to the ES short plan levels or direction.
Dylan O'Neill
#intraday
12:39 ET
I have just been informed by our Great Military that last night the Iranians shot down one of our highly sophisticated Apache Helicopters while patrolling over the Strait of Hormuz. There were two pilots involved, both are safe and uninjured. Nevertheless, the United States must, of necessity, respond to this attack. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP
· noise
Geopolitical news unrelated to ES futures trading or the current plan.
Dylan O'Neill
#intraday
12:45 ET
VX 21.45 next key spot higher... bears ideally want to see it get ABOVE there and stay above... bulls ideally want to see VX reject there and stay under
Higher VX = more pressure on ES
· noise
General market commentary on VX levels and directional pressure; no actionable change to ES trade plan levels or direction.
Dylan O'Neill
#intraday
13:04 ET
I have just been informed by our Great Military that last night the Iranians shot down one of our highly sophisticated Apache Helicopters while patrolling over the Strait of Hormuz. There were two pilots involved, both are safe and uninjured. Nevertheless, the United States must, of necessity, respond to this attack. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP
· noise
Geopolitical news unrelated to ES futures trading or the current plan.
Dylan O'Neill
#intraday
13:04 ET
ES bouncing back on that
· noise
Generic market observation without actionable trade direction or level changes.
Dylan O'Neill
#intraday
13:35 ET
Bears defended the trend line retest two days in a row... now approaching the 7363 support... THREE TESTS ALREADY so technically weaker now
· noise
General market commentary on support level and trend line behavior; no actionable change to the short plan.
Dylan O'Neill
#intraday
14:11 ET
A U.S. official told me the investigation determined that an Iranian drone hit the U.S. helicopter and got it to crash. The U.S. official said the investigation still hasn't determined if it was intentional or not
· noise
Geopolitical news unrelated to ES futures trading.
Dylan O'Neill
#intraday
14:11 ET
Back and forth headlines... focus on price
· noise
General market commentary about headlines with no specific price action or trade plan updates.
Dylan O'Neill
#intraday
15:54 ET
That latest push higher was on a large $6BLN MOC buy imbalance at 3:50pm ET… interesting size on a weak day… ES recaptured that previous support and has been flirting with it … still a good spot to gauge… bearish below, neutral above… bulls technically not in control unless they recapture that trend line where bears defended two days in a row
· noise
Market commentary on MOC activity and support/resistance dynamics; no actionable change to the short plan levels or direction.
Dylan O'Neill
#intraday
16:15 ET
CPI Data @ 8:30am ET tomorrow morning
· noise
General market information about upcoming economic data; not actionable on the ES short plan.
